INRAe\Olivier Vitrac - last update
<FR|AVERTISSEMENT. La section de COVID-19 FORECASTest indépendante du projet . Elle est consacrée à un projet expérimental fournissant une mise à jour quotidienne de l'épidémie de COVID-19 dans le monde. Le modèle lui-même est très simplifié (modèle logistique) et repose largement sur des données, mises à jour quotidiennement par l'OMS, les CDC chinois, américains et européens, et de nombreux autres ministères de la santé. *Le projet emprunte de nombreuses parties de code à d'autres projet, merci de vous reporter au Disclaimer. Les fichiers sources sont téléchargeables sous la forme d'un fichier ZIP unique (voir page principale).
Les données sont compilées par l'Université de Johns Hopkins - Centre pour la Science et l'ingénierie des systèmes. Les résultats et les analyses sont présentés de manière brute "AS IS".
Les données détaillées pour la France proviennent du projet OpenCOVID19-fr .
<EN|DISCLAIMER. The COVID-19 FORECAST section is independent of the project. It is dedicated to an experimental project providing a daily update of the COVID-19 epidemic worldwide. The model itself is highly simplified (logistic model) and relies heavily on data, updated daily by WHO, Chinese, American and European CDCs, and many other Ministries of Health. The project borrowed many pieces of code from other projects, please see the Disclaimer. The source files are downloadable as a single ZIP file (see main page).
Data were compiled by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. Results and analyses are presented "AS IS".
COVID-19 FORECASTContentUpdatesThe last global animation of the outbreakThe last detailed animationsAsiaEuropeAmericaFranceThe page "simulation"The page "country", "country,state", "country,province"OverviewKineticsForecast reportMapsList of states, provinces, regionsOverviewLast word
This version uses the new sources from JHU, released on 2020-03-23. During the transitional period, obsolete data were used and made the kinetics look falsely stable. High resolution maps (bubble plots) are automatically generated every day.
Detailed analyzes for all US states (new format and method counting released by JHUC).
better visual and comments on the online interface (comments everywhere).
Full implementation of French data with two granularities (regions, departements).
[Major update] With the rapid spread of the virus around the planet, the original databases created at the beginning of the outbreak are loosing their consistency (daily data frequently updated and consolidated ones started to diverge with a loss of Countries such as France). A consistency engine has been added to repair automatically
<FR|La propagation du COVID-19 est inédite par sa rapidité, son ampleur et son caractère morbide. Elle suit les voies de communications, elle accompagne les hommes et n'épargne aucun pays. Le projet COVID-19 essaie de la suivre et la relater au jour le jour. Vous trouverez de nombreuses autres animations et prévisions de la propagation en parcourant le site. Le virus va toujours plus vite que les moyens dont nous disposons pour collecter et interpréter les informations. Gardez vos distances.
<EN|*The spread of COVID-19 is unprecedented in its speed, magnitude and morbidity. It is spreading along communication routes, travelling with people and sparing no country. The COVID-19 project is trying to track and report it on a daily basis. You will find many other animations and predictions of the spread as you browse through the site. The virus is always moving faster than the means we have to collect and interpret information. Keep your distance.
<FR|Toutes les animations peuvent être téléchargées à partir de la page map. Les cartes sont montrées sans commentaire, merci de se reporter à l'échelle et à la date en bas de l'image.
<EN|All animations can be downloaded from the page map. The maps are shown without comment, please refer to the scale and date at the bottom of the image.
<FR|La page simulation contient les dernières analyses et celles des jours précédents. Merci de noter que les analyses n'engagent que le chercheur. La qualité des prédictions est très variable en fonction du nombre de données et selon que le pays ou la zone est déjà entré ou non dans sa phase exponentielle. Le site est en anglais avec des formats de date américain soit année-mois-jour, soit mois-jour-année.
<EN|The page simulation contains the latest analyses and those of the previous days. Please note that the analyses are the sole responsibility of the researcher. The quality of the predictions is highly variable depending on the number of data and whether or not the country or zone has already entered its exponential phase. The site is in English with American date formats either year-month-day or month-day-year.
<FR|La zone de recherche (en haut de la page), permet de saisir le pays ou la région. Seuls les pays et les régions avec assez de cas sont analysés. Les résultats sont probants que pour les pays entrés en phase exponentielle.
<EN|The search box (top of the page), allows you to enter the country or region. Only countries and regions with enough cases are analyzed. The results are convincing only for countries that have entered an exponential phase.
<FR|Pour chaque pays ou état disponible, l'analyse quotidienne est associée à plusieurs fichiers (la date est indiquée dans le nom du fichier).
<EN|For each country or state available, the daily analysis is associated with several files (the date is indicated in the file name).
<FR|Les fichiers ont une extension PNG (image), PDF (document PDF imprimable), TXT (rapport). L'extension FIG correspond à une figure au format Matlab/Octave.
<EN|Files have a PNG (image), PDF (printable PDF document), TXT (report) extension. The extension FIG corresponds to a figure in Matlab/Octave format.
<FR|Pour la visualisation, prendre le fichier PNG (en violet, dans l'image du haut). La figure comprend deux axes Y, les courbes noires (cas, décès) se lisent sur l'axe de gauche en noir (il faut multiplier le nombre de cas par 1000), la courbe bleue sur l'axe de droite. Cette dernière représente le nombre de cas par jour.
<EN|For viewing, take the PNG file (in purple, in the top image). The figure has two Y-axes, the black curves (cases, deaths) are read on the left axis in black (the number of cases must be multiplied by 1000), the blue curve on the right axis. The latter represents the number of cases per day.
<FR|Il est important que le maximum de la courbe bleue soit derrière nous pour envisager une embellie prochaine.*
<EN|It is important that the maximum of the blue curve is behind us in order to envisage an upcoming upturn.
Interpretation
<FR|Les courbes permettent de définir trois ZONES: rouge (critique), jaune (transition), vert (situation stabilisée). L'école ou toute autre activité avec du public ne pourra reprendre que dans la zone verte, le confinement s'arrêtera quand nous aurons atteint la zone jaune.
<EN|The curves allow to define three ZONES: red (critical), yellow (transition), green (stabilized situation). The school or any other activity with the public will only be able to resume in the green zone, the containment will stop when we reach the yellow zone.
<FR|Le rapport (extension TXT) contient des infos plus détaillées et un bulletin prévisionnel à 14 jours (comme la météo).
<EN|The report (extension TXT) contains more detailed information and a 14-day forecast bulletin (like the weather forecast).
<FR|ATTENTION: Il faut bien comprendre que l'analyse a de 24h à 36 de retard.
<EN|WARNING: It must be understood that the analysis is 24 to 36 hours late.
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Summary on 2020-03-23
---------------------
country: France
date: 23-Mar-2020 day: 45
start date: 08-Feb-2020
number of cases: 16018
number of deaths: 674
estimated epidemic size (cases): 27727
estimated epidemic rate (1/day): 0.256
estimated initial state (cases): 0
estimated initial doubling time (day): 2.7
estimated duration of fast growth phase (day): 15
estimated peak date: 21-Mar-2020 day: 42
estimated peak rate (cases/day): 1773
estimated end of transition phase: 02-May-2020 day: 84
epidemic phase: 3/5 fast growth deceleration phase
Short-term forecasting for France
day date actual predict error % c./day act. c./day pred. error %
40 18-Mar-2020 7652 7671 0.25 1019 1336 31.11
41 19-Mar-2020 9043 9168 1.38 1391 1497 7.62
42 20-Mar-2020 10871 10800 0.65 1828 1632 10.72
43 21-Mar-2020 12612 12526 0.68 1741 1726 0.86
44 22-Mar-2020 14282 14295 0.09 1670 1769 5.93
45 23-Mar-2020 16018 16050 0.20 1736 1755 1.09 <---- TODAY
46 24-Mar-2020 - 17736 - - 1686
47 25-Mar-2020 - 19306 - - 1570
48 26-Mar-2020 - 20727 - - 1421
49 27-Mar-2020 - 21980 - - 1253
50 28-Mar-2020 - 23059 - - 1079
51 29-Mar-2020 - 23970 - - 911
52 30-Mar-2020 - 24726 - - 756
53 31-Mar-2020 - 25345 - - 619
54 01-Apr-2020 - 25846 - - 501
55 02-Apr-2020 - 26248 - - 402
56 03-Apr-2020 - 26568 - - 320
57 04-Apr-2020 - 26821 - - 253
58 05-Apr-2020 - 27020 - - 199
59 06-Apr-2020 - 27177 - - 157
Example of the interpretation on March 23, 2020 (shown results) and its comparison with updated ones
<FR|Les chiffres de ce soir (qui ne seront intégrés dans la base de données des nations unies que demain) donnent 3167 nouveaux cas et 186 morts supplémentaires. C'est plus que les prédictions, la situation n'est pas encore stabilisée et la fin programmée pour le 2 Mai devra encore être repoussée. Il faut comparer avec la situation en Italie (9 jours plus avancés que nous) et en Espagne (6-7 jours plus avancés que nous) pour comprendre que la zone critique ROUGE peut être beaucoup plus large. Il faut garder à l'esprit que la France accélère le nombre de tests,on pourra donc observer une augmentation mécanique. Les prédictions pour l'Italie sont correctes ce soir.
<EN|Tonight's figures (which will not be incorporated into the UN database until tomorrow) show 3167 new cases and 186 additional deaths. This is more than the predictions, the situation is not yet stabilized and the scheduled end of May 2 will have to be pushed back further. It is necessary to compare with the situation in Italy (9 days more advanced than us) and Spain (6-7 days more advanced than us) to understand that the RED critical zone can be much wider. We have to keep in mind that France is accelerating the number of tests, so we will be able to observe a mechanical increase. The predictions for Italy are correct tonight.
<FR|Des cartes sont générées tous les jours avec des vues : WORLD, EUROPE, AMERICA, ASIA. Les noms de fichiers contiennent la date.
<EN|Maps are automatically generated on a daily basis: WORLD, EUROPE, AMERICA, ASIA. Filenames include date.
<FR|Les bases de données sont mises à jour qutodiennement et étendues au besoin. La version actuelle de analyse la progression et la résolution du COVID-19 pour 180 pays et 428 sous-régions du monde.
<EN|Databases are updated daily and extended when needed. Current analyzes the spread and resolution of COVID-19 for 180 coutries and up to 428 sub-regions.
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>> COVID19Modelingv2('list')
[A] --- 11 countries --- ------ [A] ------ --- [A]
Afghanistan COVID19Modelingv2("Afghanistan")
Albania COVID19Modelingv2("Albania")
Algeria COVID19Modelingv2("Algeria")
Andorra COVID19Modelingv2("Andorra")
Angola COVID19Modelingv2("Angola")
Antigua and Barbuda COVID19Modelingv2("Antigua and Barbuda")
Argentina COVID19Modelingv2("Argentina")
Armenia COVID19Modelingv2("Armenia")
** Australia (9 entries) **
> Australia COVID19Modelingv2("Australia")
> Australia,Australian Capital Territory COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,Australian Capital Territory")
> Australia,New South Wales COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,New South Wales")
> Australia,Northern Territory COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,Northern Territory")
> Australia,Queensland COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,Queensland")
> Australia,South Australia COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,South Australia")
> Australia,Tasmania COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,Tasmania")
> Australia,Victoria COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,Victoria")
> Australia,Western Australia COVID19Modelingv2("Australia,Western Australia")
Austria COVID19Modelingv2("Austria")
Azerbaijan COVID19Modelingv2("Azerbaijan")
[B] --- 16 countries --- ------ [B] ------ --- [B]
Bahamas COVID19Modelingv2("Bahamas")
Bahrain COVID19Modelingv2("Bahrain")
Bangladesh COVID19Modelingv2("Bangladesh")
Barbados COVID19Modelingv2("Barbados")
Belarus COVID19Modelingv2("Belarus")
Belgium COVID19Modelingv2("Belgium")
Belize COVID19Modelingv2("Belize")
Benin COVID19Modelingv2("Benin")
Bhutan COVID19Modelingv2("Bhutan")
Bolivia COVID19Modelingv2("Bolivia")
Bosnia and Herzegovina COVID19Modelingv2("Bosnia and Herzegovina")
Brazil COVID19Modelingv2("Brazil")
Brunei COVID19Modelingv2("Brunei")
Bulgaria COVID19Modelingv2("Bulgaria")
Burkina Faso COVID19Modelingv2("Burkina Faso")
Burma COVID19Modelingv2("Burma")
[C] --- 17 countries --- ------ [C] ------ --- [C]
Cabo Verde COVID19Modelingv2("Cabo Verde")
Cambodia COVID19Modelingv2("Cambodia")
Cameroon COVID19Modelingv2("Cameroon")
** Canada (16 entries) **
> Canada COVID19Modelingv2("Canada")
> Canada,Alberta COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Alberta")
> Canada,British Columbia COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,British Columbia")
> Canada,Diamond Princess COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Diamond Princess")
> Canada,Grand Princess COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Grand Princess")
> Canada,Manitoba COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Manitoba")
> Canada,New Brunswick COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,New Brunswick")
> Canada,Newfoundland and Labrador COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Newfoundland and Labrador")
> Canada,Northwest Territories COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Northwest Territories")
> Canada,Nova Scotia COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Nova Scotia")
> Canada,Ontario COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Ontario")
> Canada,Prince Edward Island COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Prince Edward Island")
> Canada,Quebec COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Quebec")
> Canada,Recovered COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Recovered")
> Canada,Saskatchewan COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Saskatchewan")
> Canada,Yukon COVID19Modelingv2("Canada,Yukon")
Central African Republic COVID19Modelingv2("Central African Republic")
Chad COVID19Modelingv2("Chad")
Chile COVID19Modelingv2("Chile")
** China (34 entries) **
> China COVID19Modelingv2("China")
> China,Anhui COVID19Modelingv2("China,Anhui")
> China,Beijing COVID19Modelingv2("China,Beijing")
> China,Chongqing COVID19Modelingv2("China,Chongqing")
> China,Fujian COVID19Modelingv2("China,Fujian")
> China,Gansu COVID19Modelingv2("China,Gansu")
> China,Guangdong COVID19Modelingv2("China,Guangdong")
> China,Guangxi COVID19Modelingv2("China,Guangxi")
> China,Guizhou COVID19Modelingv2("China,Guizhou")
> China,Hainan COVID19Modelingv2("China,Hainan")
> China,Hebei COVID19Modelingv2("China,Hebei")
> China,Heilongjiang COVID19Modelingv2("China,Heilongjiang")
> China,Henan COVID19Modelingv2("China,Henan")
> China,Hong Kong COVID19Modelingv2("China,Hong Kong")
> China,Hubei COVID19Modelingv2("China,Hubei")
> China,Hunan COVID19Modelingv2("China,Hunan")
> China,Inner Mongolia COVID19Modelingv2("China,Inner Mongolia")
> China,Jiangsu COVID19Modelingv2("China,Jiangsu")
> China,Jiangxi COVID19Modelingv2("China,Jiangxi")
> China,Jilin COVID19Modelingv2("China,Jilin")
> China,Liaoning COVID19Modelingv2("China,Liaoning")
> China,Macau COVID19Modelingv2("China,Macau")
> China,Ningxia COVID19Modelingv2("China,Ningxia")
> China,Qinghai COVID19Modelingv2("China,Qinghai")
> China,Shaanxi COVID19Modelingv2("China,Shaanxi")
> China,Shandong COVID19Modelingv2("China,Shandong")
> China,Shanghai COVID19Modelingv2("China,Shanghai")
> China,Shanxi COVID19Modelingv2("China,Shanxi")
> China,Sichuan COVID19Modelingv2("China,Sichuan")
> China,Tianjin COVID19Modelingv2("China,Tianjin")
> China,Tibet COVID19Modelingv2("China,Tibet")
> China,Xinjiang COVID19Modelingv2("China,Xinjiang")
> China,Yunnan COVID19Modelingv2("China,Yunnan")
> China,Zhejiang COVID19Modelingv2("China,Zhejiang")
Colombia COVID19Modelingv2("Colombia")
Congo (Brazzaville) COVID19Modelingv2("Congo (Brazzaville)")
Congo (Kinshasa) COVID19Modelingv2("Congo (Kinshasa)")
Costa Rica COVID19Modelingv2("Costa Rica")
Cote d'Ivoire COVID19Modelingv2("Cote d'Ivoire")
Croatia COVID19Modelingv2("Croatia")
Cuba COVID19Modelingv2("Cuba")
Cyprus COVID19Modelingv2("Cyprus")
Czech Republic COVID19Modelingv2("Czech Republic")
[D] --- 5 countries --- ------ [D] ------ --- [D]
** Denmark (3 entries) **
> Denmark COVID19Modelingv2("Denmark")
> Denmark,Faroe Islands COVID19Modelingv2("Denmark,Faroe Islands")
> Denmark,Greenland COVID19Modelingv2("Denmark,Greenland")
Diamond Princess COVID19Modelingv2("Diamond Princess")
Djibouti COVID19Modelingv2("Djibouti")
Dominica COVID19Modelingv2("Dominica")
Dominican Republic COVID19Modelingv2("Dominican Republic")
[E] --- 8 countries --- ------ [E] ------ --- [E]
Ecuador COVID19Modelingv2("Ecuador")
Egypt COVID19Modelingv2("Egypt")
El Salvador COVID19Modelingv2("El Salvador")
Equatorial Guinea COVID19Modelingv2("Equatorial Guinea")
Eritrea COVID19Modelingv2("Eritrea")
Estonia COVID19Modelingv2("Estonia")
Eswatini COVID19Modelingv2("Eswatini")
Ethiopia COVID19Modelingv2("Ethiopia")
[F] --- 4 countries --- ------ [F] ------ --- [F]
Fiji COVID19Modelingv2("Fiji")
Finland COVID19Modelingv2("Finland")
** France (112 entries) **
> France COVID19Modelingv2("France")
> France/Departements/ COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/")
> France/Departements/DPT 01,Ain COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 01,Ain")
> France/Departements/DPT 02,Aisne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 02,Aisne")
> France/Departements/DPT 03,Allier COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 03,Allier")
> France/Departements/DPT 04,Alpes-de-Haute-Provence COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 04,Alpes-de-Haute-Provence")
> France/Departements/DPT 05,Hautes-Alpes COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 05,Hautes-Alpes")
> France/Departements/DPT 06,Alpes-Maritimes COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 06,Alpes-Maritimes")
> France/Departements/DPT 07,Ardèche COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 07,Ardèche")
> France/Departements/DPT 08,Ardennes COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 08,Ardennes")
> France/Departements/DPT 09,Ariège COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 09,Ariège")
> France/Departements/DPT 10,Aube COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 10,Aube")
> France/Departements/DPT 11,Aude COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 11,Aude")
> France/Departements/DPT 12,Aveyron COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 12,Aveyron")
> France/Departements/DPT 13,Bouches-du-Rhône COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 13,Bouches-du-Rhône")
> France/Departements/DPT 14,Calvados COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 14,Calvados")
> France/Departements/DPT 15,Cantal COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 15,Cantal")
> France/Departements/DPT 16,Charente COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 16,Charente")
> France/Departements/DPT 17,Charente-Maritime COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 17,Charente-Maritime")
> France/Departements/DPT 18,Cher COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 18,Cher")
> France/Departements/DPT 19,Corrèze COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 19,Corrèze")
> France/Departements/DPT 21,Côte-d'Or COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 21,Côte-d'Or")
> France/Departements/DPT 22,Côtes-d'Armor COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 22,Côtes-d'Armor")
> France/Departements/DPT 23,Creuse COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 23,Creuse")
> France/Departements/DPT 24,Dordogne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 24,Dordogne")
> France/Departements/DPT 25,Doubs COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 25,Doubs")
> France/Departements/DPT 26,Drôme COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 26,Drôme")
> France/Departements/DPT 27,Eure COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 27,Eure")
> France/Departements/DPT 28,Eure-et-Loir COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 28,Eure-et-Loir")
> France/Departements/DPT 29,Finistère COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 29,Finistère")
> France/Departements/DPT 2A,Corse-du-Sud COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 2A,Corse-du-Sud")
> France/Departements/DPT 2B,Haute-Corse COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 2B,Haute-Corse")
> France/Departements/DPT 30,Gard COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 30,Gard")
> France/Departements/DPT 31,Haute-Garonne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 31,Haute-Garonne")
> France/Departements/DPT 32,Gers COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 32,Gers")
> France/Departements/DPT 33,Gironde COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 33,Gironde")
> France/Departements/DPT 34,Hérault COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 34,Hérault")
> France/Departements/DPT 35,Ille-et-Vilaine COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 35,Ille-et-Vilaine")
> France/Departements/DPT 36,Indre COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 36,Indre")
> France/Departements/DPT 37,Indre-et-Loire COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 37,Indre-et-Loire")
> France/Departements/DPT 38,Isère COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 38,Isère")
> France/Departements/DPT 39,Jura COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 39,Jura")
> France/Departements/DPT 40,Landes COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 40,Landes")
> France/Departements/DPT 41,Loir-et-Cher COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 41,Loir-et-Cher")
> France/Departements/DPT 42,Loire COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 42,Loire")
> France/Departements/DPT 43,Haute-Loire COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 43,Haute-Loire")
> France/Departements/DPT 44,Loire-Atlantique COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 44,Loire-Atlantique")
> France/Departements/DPT 45,Loiret COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 45,Loiret")
> France/Departements/DPT 46,Lot COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 46,Lot")
> France/Departements/DPT 47,Lot-et-Garonne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 47,Lot-et-Garonne")
> France/Departements/DPT 48,Lozère COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 48,Lozère")
> France/Departements/DPT 49,Maine-et-Loire COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 49,Maine-et-Loire")
> France/Departements/DPT 50,Manche COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 50,Manche")
> France/Departements/DPT 51,Marne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 51,Marne")
> France/Departements/DPT 52,Haute-Marne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 52,Haute-Marne")
> France/Departements/DPT 53,Mayenne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 53,Mayenne")
> France/Departements/DPT 54,Meurthe-et-Moselle COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 54,Meurthe-et-Moselle")
> France/Departements/DPT 55,Meuse COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 55,Meuse")
> France/Departements/DPT 56,Morbihan COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 56,Morbihan")
> France/Departements/DPT 57,Moselle COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 57,Moselle")
> France/Departements/DPT 58,Nièvre COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 58,Nièvre")
> France/Departements/DPT 59,Nord COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 59,Nord")
> France/Departements/DPT 60,Oise COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 60,Oise")
> France/Departements/DPT 61,Orne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 61,Orne")
> France/Departements/DPT 62,Pas-de-Calais COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 62,Pas-de-Calais")
> France/Departements/DPT 63,Puy-de-Dôme COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 63,Puy-de-Dôme")
> France/Departements/DPT 64,Pyrénées-Atlantiques COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 64,Pyrénées-Atlantiques")
> France/Departements/DPT 65,Hautes-Pyrénées COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 65,Hautes-Pyrénées")
> France/Departements/DPT 66,Pyrénées-Orientales COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 66,Pyrénées-Orientales")
> France/Departements/DPT 67,Bas-Rhin COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 67,Bas-Rhin")
> France/Departements/DPT 68,Haut-Rhin COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 68,Haut-Rhin")
> France/Departements/DPT 69,Rhône COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 69,Rhône")
> France/Departements/DPT 70,Haute-Saône COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 70,Haute-Saône")
> France/Departements/DPT 71,Saône-et-Loire COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 71,Saône-et-Loire")
> France/Departements/DPT 72,Sarthe COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 72,Sarthe")
> France/Departements/DPT 73,Savoie COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 73,Savoie")
> France/Departements/DPT 74,Haute-Savoie COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 74,Haute-Savoie")
> France/Departements/DPT 75,Paris COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 75,Paris")
> France/Departements/DPT 76,Seine-Maritime COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 76,Seine-Maritime")
> France/Departements/DPT 77,Seine-et-Marne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 77,Seine-et-Marne")
> France/Departements/DPT 78,Yvelines COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 78,Yvelines")
> France/Departements/DPT 79,Deux-Sèvres COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 79,Deux-Sèvres")
> France/Departements/DPT 80,Somme COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 80,Somme")
> France/Departements/DPT 81,Tarn COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 81,Tarn")
> France/Departements/DPT 82,Tarn-et-Garonne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 82,Tarn-et-Garonne")
> France/Departements/DPT 83,Var COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 83,Var")
> France/Departements/DPT 84,Vaucluse COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 84,Vaucluse")
> France/Departements/DPT 85,Vendée COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 85,Vendée")
> France/Departements/DPT 86,Vienne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 86,Vienne")
> France/Departements/DPT 87,Haute-Vienne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 87,Haute-Vienne")
> France/Departements/DPT 88,Vosges COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 88,Vosges")
> France/Departements/DPT 89,Yonne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 89,Yonne")
> France/Departements/DPT 90,Territoire de Belfort COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 90,Territoire de Belfort")
> France/Departements/DPT 91,Essonne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 91,Essonne")
> France/Departements/DPT 92,Hauts-de-Seine COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 92,Hauts-de-Seine")
> France/Departements/DPT 93,Seine-Saint-Denis COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 93,Seine-Saint-Denis")
> France/Departements/DPT 94,Val-de-Marne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 94,Val-de-Marne")
> France/Departements/DPT 95,Val-d'Oise COVID19Modelingv2("France/Departements/DPT 95,Val-d'Oise")
> France/Regions/ COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/")
> France/Regions/Région Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes")
> France/Regions/Région Bourgogne-Franche-Comté COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Bourgogne-Franche-Comté")
> France/Regions/Région Bretagne COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Bretagne")
> France/Regions/Région Centre-Val de Loire COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Centre-Val de Loire")
> France/Regions/Région Corse COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Corse")
> France/Regions/Région Grand Est COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Grand Est")
> France/Regions/Région Hauts-de-France COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Hauts-de-France")
> France/Regions/Région Normandie COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Normandie")
> France/Regions/Région Nouvelle-Aquitaine COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Nouvelle-Aquitaine")
> France/Regions/Région Occitanie COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Occitanie")
> France/Regions/Région Pays de la Loire COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Pays de la Loire")
> France/Regions/Région Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur")
> France/Regions/Région Île-de-France COVID19Modelingv2("France/Regions/Région Île-de-France")
** France DOM-TOM (8 entries) **
> France DOM-TOM COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM")
> France DOM-TOM,French Guiana COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM,French Guiana")
> France DOM-TOM,French Polynesia COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM,French Polynesia")
> France DOM-TOM,Guadeloupe COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM,Guadeloupe")
> France DOM-TOM,Martinique COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM,Martinique")
> France DOM-TOM,Mayotte COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM,Mayotte")
> France DOM-TOM,New Caledonia COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM,New Caledonia")
> France DOM-TOM,Reunion COVID19Modelingv2("France DOM-TOM,Reunion")
[G] --- 11 countries --- ------ [G] ------ --- [G]
Gabon COVID19Modelingv2("Gabon")
Gambia COVID19Modelingv2("Gambia")
Georgia COVID19Modelingv2("Georgia")
Germany COVID19Modelingv2("Germany")
Ghana COVID19Modelingv2("Ghana")
Greece COVID19Modelingv2("Greece")
Grenada COVID19Modelingv2("Grenada")
Guatemala COVID19Modelingv2("Guatemala")
Guinea COVID19Modelingv2("Guinea")
Guinea-Bissau COVID19Modelingv2("Guinea-Bissau")
Guyana COVID19Modelingv2("Guyana")
[H] --- 4 countries --- ------ [H] ------ --- [H]
Haiti COVID19Modelingv2("Haiti")
Holy See COVID19Modelingv2("Holy See")
Honduras COVID19Modelingv2("Honduras")
Hungary COVID19Modelingv2("Hungary")
[I] --- 8 countries --- ------ [I] ------ --- [I]
Iceland COVID19Modelingv2("Iceland")
India COVID19Modelingv2("India")
Indonesia COVID19Modelingv2("Indonesia")
Iran COVID19Modelingv2("Iran")
Iraq COVID19Modelingv2("Iraq")
Ireland COVID19Modelingv2("Ireland")
Israel COVID19Modelingv2("Israel")
Italy COVID19Modelingv2("Italy")
[J] --- 3 countries --- ------ [J] ------ --- [J]
Jamaica COVID19Modelingv2("Jamaica")
Japan COVID19Modelingv2("Japan")
Jordan COVID19Modelingv2("Jordan")
[K] --- 6 countries --- ------ [K] ------ --- [K]
Kazakhstan COVID19Modelingv2("Kazakhstan")
Kenya COVID19Modelingv2("Kenya")
Korea, South COVID19Modelingv2("Korea, South")
Kosovo COVID19Modelingv2("Kosovo")
Kuwait COVID19Modelingv2("Kuwait")
Kyrgyzstan COVID19Modelingv2("Kyrgyzstan")
[L] --- 8 countries --- ------ [L] ------ --- [L]
Laos COVID19Modelingv2("Laos")
Latvia COVID19Modelingv2("Latvia")
Lebanon COVID19Modelingv2("Lebanon")
Liberia COVID19Modelingv2("Liberia")
Libya COVID19Modelingv2("Libya")
Liechtenstein COVID19Modelingv2("Liechtenstein")
Lithuania COVID19Modelingv2("Lithuania")
Luxembourg COVID19Modelingv2("Luxembourg")
[M] --- 15 countries --- ------ [M] ------ --- [M]
MS Zaandam COVID19Modelingv2("MS Zaandam")
Madagascar COVID19Modelingv2("Madagascar")
Malaysia COVID19Modelingv2("Malaysia")
Maldives COVID19Modelingv2("Maldives")
Mali COVID19Modelingv2("Mali")
Malta COVID19Modelingv2("Malta")
Mauritania COVID19Modelingv2("Mauritania")
Mauritius COVID19Modelingv2("Mauritius")
Mexico COVID19Modelingv2("Mexico")
Moldova COVID19Modelingv2("Moldova")
Monaco COVID19Modelingv2("Monaco")
Mongolia COVID19Modelingv2("Mongolia")
Montenegro COVID19Modelingv2("Montenegro")
Morocco COVID19Modelingv2("Morocco")
Mozambique COVID19Modelingv2("Mozambique")
[N] --- 9 countries --- ------ [N] ------ --- [N]
Namibia COVID19Modelingv2("Namibia")
Nepal COVID19Modelingv2("Nepal")
** Netherlands (4 entries) **
> Netherlands COVID19Modelingv2("Netherlands")
> Netherlands,Aruba COVID19Modelingv2("Netherlands,Aruba")
> Netherlands,Curacao COVID19Modelingv2("Netherlands,Curacao")
> Netherlands,Sint Maarten COVID19Modelingv2("Netherlands,Sint Maarten")
New Zealand COVID19Modelingv2("New Zealand")
Nicaragua COVID19Modelingv2("Nicaragua")
Niger COVID19Modelingv2("Niger")
Nigeria COVID19Modelingv2("Nigeria")
North Macedonia COVID19Modelingv2("North Macedonia")
Norway COVID19Modelingv2("Norway")
[O] --- 1 countries --- ------ [O] ------ --- [O]
Oman COVID19Modelingv2("Oman")
[P] --- 8 countries --- ------ [P] ------ --- [P]
Pakistan COVID19Modelingv2("Pakistan")
Panama COVID19Modelingv2("Panama")
Papua New Guinea COVID19Modelingv2("Papua New Guinea")
Paraguay COVID19Modelingv2("Paraguay")
Peru COVID19Modelingv2("Peru")
Philippines COVID19Modelingv2("Philippines")
Poland COVID19Modelingv2("Poland")
Portugal COVID19Modelingv2("Portugal")
[Q] --- 1 countries --- ------ [Q] ------ --- [Q]
Qatar COVID19Modelingv2("Qatar")
[R] --- 3 countries --- ------ [R] ------ --- [R]
Romania COVID19Modelingv2("Romania")
Russia COVID19Modelingv2("Russia")
Rwanda COVID19Modelingv2("Rwanda")
[S] --- 22 countries --- ------ [S] ------ --- [S]
** Saint Barthelemy (2 entries) **
> Saint Barthelemy COVID19Modelingv2("Saint Barthelemy")
> Saint Barthelemy,Saint Barthelemy COVID19Modelingv2("Saint Barthelemy,Saint Barthelemy")
Saint Kitts and Nevis COVID19Modelingv2("Saint Kitts and Nevis")
Saint Lucia COVID19Modelingv2("Saint Lucia")
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines COVID19Modelingv2("Saint Vincent and the Grenadines")
San Marino COVID19Modelingv2("San Marino")
Saudi Arabia COVID19Modelingv2("Saudi Arabia")
Senegal COVID19Modelingv2("Senegal")
Serbia COVID19Modelingv2("Serbia")
Seychelles COVID19Modelingv2("Seychelles")
Singapore COVID19Modelingv2("Singapore")
Slovakia COVID19Modelingv2("Slovakia")
Slovenia COVID19Modelingv2("Slovenia")
Somalia COVID19Modelingv2("Somalia")
South Africa COVID19Modelingv2("South Africa")
Spain COVID19Modelingv2("Spain")
Sri Lanka COVID19Modelingv2("Sri Lanka")
** St Martin (2 entries) **
> St Martin COVID19Modelingv2("St Martin")
> St Martin,St Martin COVID19Modelingv2("St Martin,St Martin")
Sudan COVID19Modelingv2("Sudan")
Suriname COVID19Modelingv2("Suriname")
Sweden COVID19Modelingv2("Sweden")
Switzerland COVID19Modelingv2("Switzerland")
Syria COVID19Modelingv2("Syria")
[T] --- 8 countries --- ------ [T] ------ --- [T]
Taiwan COVID19Modelingv2("Taiwan")
Tanzania COVID19Modelingv2("Tanzania")
Thailand COVID19Modelingv2("Thailand")
Timor-Leste COVID19Modelingv2("Timor-Leste")
Togo COVID19Modelingv2("Togo")
Trinidad and Tobago COVID19Modelingv2("Trinidad and Tobago")
Tunisia COVID19Modelingv2("Tunisia")
Turkey COVID19Modelingv2("Turkey")
[U] --- 7 countries --- ------ [U] ------ --- [U]
** UK (10 entries) **
> UK COVID19Modelingv2("UK")
> UK,Anguilla COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Anguilla")
> UK,Bermuda COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Bermuda")
> UK,British Virgin Islands COVID19Modelingv2("UK,British Virgin Islands")
> UK,Cayman Islands COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Cayman Islands")
> UK,Channel Islands COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Channel Islands")
> UK,Gibraltar COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Gibraltar")
> UK,Isle of Man COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Isle of Man")
> UK,Montserrat COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Montserrat")
> UK,Turks and Caicos Islands COVID19Modelingv2("UK,Turks and Caicos Islands")
** US (59 entries) **
> US COVID19Modelingv2("US")
> US,Alabama COVID19Modelingv2("US,Alabama")
> US,Alaska COVID19Modelingv2("US,Alaska")
> US,American Samoa COVID19Modelingv2("US,American Samoa")
> US,Arizona COVID19Modelingv2("US,Arizona")
> US,Arkansas COVID19Modelingv2("US,Arkansas")
> US,California COVID19Modelingv2("US,California")
> US,Colorado COVID19Modelingv2("US,Colorado")
> US,Connecticut COVID19Modelingv2("US,Connecticut")
> US,Delaware COVID19Modelingv2("US,Delaware")
> US,Diamond Princess COVID19Modelingv2("US,Diamond Princess")
> US,District of Columbia COVID19Modelingv2("US,District of Columbia")
> US,Florida COVID19Modelingv2("US,Florida")
> US,Georgia COVID19Modelingv2("US,Georgia")
> US,Grand Princess COVID19Modelingv2("US,Grand Princess")
> US,Guam COVID19Modelingv2("US,Guam")
> US,Hawaii COVID19Modelingv2("US,Hawaii")
> US,Idaho COVID19Modelingv2("US,Idaho")
> US,Illinois COVID19Modelingv2("US,Illinois")
> US,Indiana COVID19Modelingv2("US,Indiana")
> US,Iowa COVID19Modelingv2("US,Iowa")
> US,Kansas COVID19Modelingv2("US,Kansas")
> US,Kentucky COVID19Modelingv2("US,Kentucky")
> US,Louisiana COVID19Modelingv2("US,Louisiana")
> US,Maine COVID19Modelingv2("US,Maine")
> US,Maryland COVID19Modelingv2("US,Maryland")
> US,Massachusetts COVID19Modelingv2("US,Massachusetts")
> US,Michigan COVID19Modelingv2("US,Michigan")
> US,Minnesota COVID19Modelingv2("US,Minnesota")
> US,Mississippi COVID19Modelingv2("US,Mississippi")
> US,Missouri COVID19Modelingv2("US,Missouri")
> US,Montana COVID19Modelingv2("US,Montana")
> US,Nebraska COVID19Modelingv2("US,Nebraska")
> US,Nevada COVID19Modelingv2("US,Nevada")
> US,New Hampshire COVID19Modelingv2("US,New Hampshire")
> US,New Jersey COVID19Modelingv2("US,New Jersey")
> US,New Mexico COVID19Modelingv2("US,New Mexico")
> US,New York COVID19Modelingv2("US,New York")
> US,North Carolina COVID19Modelingv2("US,North Carolina")
> US,North Dakota COVID19Modelingv2("US,North Dakota")
> US,Northern Mariana Islands COVID19Modelingv2("US,Northern Mariana Islands")
> US,Ohio COVID19Modelingv2("US,Ohio")
> US,Oklahoma COVID19Modelingv2("US,Oklahoma")
> US,Oregon COVID19Modelingv2("US,Oregon")
> US,Pennsylvania COVID19Modelingv2("US,Pennsylvania")
> US,Puerto Rico COVID19Modelingv2("US,Puerto Rico")
> US,Rhode Island COVID19Modelingv2("US,Rhode Island")
> US,South Carolina COVID19Modelingv2("US,South Carolina")
> US,South Dakota COVID19Modelingv2("US,South Dakota")
> US,Tennessee COVID19Modelingv2("US,Tennessee")
> US,Texas COVID19Modelingv2("US,Texas")
> US,Utah COVID19Modelingv2("US,Utah")
> US,Vermont COVID19Modelingv2("US,Vermont")
> US,Virgin Islands COVID19Modelingv2("US,Virgin Islands")
> US,Virginia COVID19Modelingv2("US,Virginia")
> US,Washington COVID19Modelingv2("US,Washington")
> US,West Virginia COVID19Modelingv2("US,West Virginia")
> US,Wisconsin COVID19Modelingv2("US,Wisconsin")
> US,Wyoming COVID19Modelingv2("US,Wyoming")
Uganda COVID19Modelingv2("Uganda")
Ukraine COVID19Modelingv2("Ukraine")
United Arab Emirates COVID19Modelingv2("United Arab Emirates")
Uruguay COVID19Modelingv2("Uruguay")
Uzbekistan COVID19Modelingv2("Uzbekistan")
[V] --- 2 countries --- ------ [V] ------ --- [V]
Venezuela COVID19Modelingv2("Venezuela")
Vietnam COVID19Modelingv2("Vietnam")
[W] --- 1 countries --- ------ [W] ------ --- [W]
West Bank and Gaza COVID19Modelingv2("West Bank and Gaza")
[Z] --- 2 countries --- ------ [Z] ------ --- [Z]
Zambia COVID19Modelingv2("Zambia")
Zimbabwe COVID19Modelingv2("Zimbabwe")
>>>> COVID19Modelingv2() can analyze 180 countries (incl. ships), and 428 regions/provinces/departments on 2020-03-30
<FR|Je mets à jour les données vers 9h (heure de Paris, UTC+1) tous les jours. Le lien peut être partagé avec votre entourage mais ne le mettez pas sur les réseau sociaux, le serveur fitness est un serveur de cours financé par la Commission Européenne, sa destination initiale est différente.
<EN|I update the data around 9:00 a.m. (Paris time, UTC+1) every day. The link can be shared with your entourage but don't put it on social networks, the fitness server is a course server funded by the European Commission, its initial destination is different.
<FR|La qualité des prédictions se juge par la capacité de l'outil à donner des prédictions stables de jour en jour. Un peu comme les bulletins météo, l'addition de nouvelles données modifie les prévisions à venir.
<EN|The quality of the predictions is judged by the ability of the tool to give stable predictions from day to day. Much like weather reports, the addition of new data changes the future forecast.
Olivier (day 46 after the outbreak) - Please keep your social distance.